{"id":265,"date":"2016-06-18T16:02:04","date_gmt":"2016-06-18T08:02:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.eachsha.com\/?p=265"},"modified":"2016-06-18T16:02:04","modified_gmt":"2016-06-18T08:02:04","slug":"%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e5%8d%b3%e5%b0%86%e5%88%b0%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%b9%b2%e9%a2%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e5%8d%b3%e5%b0%86%e5%88%b0%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%b9%b2%e9%a2%84\/265\/","title":{"rendered":"chinajobbox\uff1a\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884"},"content":{"rendered":"

Syria<\/span><\/p>\n

Changing calculations<\/span><\/p>\n

Talk of military intervention is getting louder but is unlikely to be heeded soon<\/span><\/p>\n

Jun 9th 2012 |BEIRUT| from the print edition<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

SINCE the massacre of more than 100 people in Houla on May 25th, talk of setting up buffer zones <\/span><\/p>\n

onSyria\u2019s border has grown louder in Western government circles. Reports on June 6th of a similar <\/span><\/p>\n

slaughter of at least 78 villagers nearHamahave turned the volume up still more. Hitherto, all <\/span><\/p>\n

Western governments agreed that direct military intervention, which would almost certainly have <\/span><\/p>\n

to accompany the creation of those zones, was out of the question. That is changing.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Military planners are now pondering in detail the prerequisites for securing a buffer zone. Officials <\/span><\/p>\n

inBritain,Franceand theUnited Stateshave all said that military intervention \u201ccannot be ruled out\u201d in <\/span><\/p>\n

due course. Though almost no one thinks it will be done soon, calls for intervention, especially <\/span><\/p>\n

inWashington, are growing.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Two main arguments against intervention still prevail. The first is that it would require the <\/span><\/p>\n

endorsement of the UN Security Council, whichRussiaandChinastill show no sign of giving. The <\/span><\/p>\n

second is thatSyriawith23mpeople, unlikeLibyawith7m, would be a hard nut militarily to crack\u2014and <\/span><\/p>\n

that the ensuing bloodshed would be on a far bigger scale than now.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

On the first score, Western governments could conceivably in the end bypass the Security Council, <\/span><\/p>\n

as they did in 1999, when NATO set about bombingSerbiaunder Slobodan Milosevic\u2014to the <\/span><\/p>\n

annoyance ofRussia. But it is barely conceivable that they could undertake similar attacks <\/span><\/p>\n

againstSyriawithout the close co-operation and public endorsement of bothTurkeyand the Arab <\/span><\/p>\n

League.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Once those conditions are met, however, a buffer zone could\u2014it is reckoned\u2014be secured quite fast. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPeople exaggerate and overestimate the power of the Syrian army,\u201d says Riad Kahwaji, a military <\/span><\/p>\n

analyst based inDubai. \u201cSyriahas a sophisticated anti-aircraft system but most of its equipment is <\/span><\/p>\n

from the Soviet era and could easily be outpowered.\u201d Any Western-cum-Turkish decision to set up a <\/span><\/p>\n

buffer zone would require air raids on Syrian defences.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

There are reports of flagging morale in the 300,000-strong army. Many conscripts have absconded. <\/span><\/p>\n

Rebel attacks by the ragtag Free Syrian Army have been increasing. In a recent ambush more than <\/span><\/p>\n

100 Syrian soldiers are said to have been killed. Most soldiers are Sunnis, less loyal to the ruling <\/span><\/p>\n

Assad regime than is the Alawite minority to which the Assads belong.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The army\u2019s elite squads, led by Mr Assad\u2019s hawkish brother Maher, now a cult figure among his <\/span><\/p>\n

men, are still fiercely loyal. The shabiha, drawn mainly from the Alawite community, are carrying <\/span><\/p>\n

out many of the atrocities. \u201c[Bashar] Assad is ultimately responsible for creating the conditions for <\/span><\/p>\n

these paramilitaries to operate,\u201d says Emile Hokayem, another analyst. \u201cBut no one thinks he picks <\/span><\/p>\n

up the phone to order every attack. These groups may act on their own initiative too.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u7531chinajobbox \u7ffb\u8bd1\u63d0\u70bc\uff0c\u4ec5\u4f9b\u5b66\u4e60\u4ea4\u6d41\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u4f5c\u8005\u672c\u4eba\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Syria Changing calculations Talk of military intervention is getting louder but is unlikely to be heeded soon Jun 9th 2012 |BEIRUT| from the print edition \u00a0 1\u3001\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba8\u8bba\u5bf9\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u70ed\u70c8\uff0c\u8bbe\u7acb\u8fb9\u5883\u519b\u4e8b\u7981\u98de\u533a\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd \uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u3002 2\u3001\u5982\u679c\u8981\u5c55\u5f00\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u56f0\u96be 3\u3001\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5728\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5b89\u7406\u4f1a\uff0c\u8981\u7ed5\u5f00\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u53cd\u5bf9\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u5176\u6b21\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u519b\u961f\u8981\u6bd4\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5f3a\u5927\u3002 4\u3001\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed5\u5f00\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4ee5\u524d\u5bf9\u5357\u65af\u62c9\u592b\u7684\u8f70\u70b8\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8981\u60f3\u519b\u4e8b\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u571f\u8033\u5176\uff0c\u975e\u76df\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002 5\u3001\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u6d3e\u7cfb\u6597\u4e89\u3002\u5fe0\u8bda\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u653f\u6743\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u519b\u4e8b\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u652f\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u653f\u5e9c\u3002 SINCE the massacre of more than 100 people in Houla on May 25th, talk of setting up buffer zones onSyria\u2019s border has grown louder in Western<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[37,167,247,556,559,617],"class_list":["post-265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-chinajobbox","tag-167","tag-247","tag-556","tag-559","tag-617","no-featured","has-left-col"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.jobsapk.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}